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Soybeans fell sharply on May 17, 2023 on fund and technical selling, while corn and wheat also declined. Brazil's record harvest is largely complete, lowering its basis and potentially aiding U.S. exports.
China canceled another 272,000 tons of old-crop U.S. corn, and ethanol output rose to 987,000 barrels per day.
China's cancellations and Brazil's large harvest weaken U.S. export demand, pressuring corn and soybean prices, while firm ethanol output supports corn demand.
brownfieldagnews.comMay 17, 2023After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fund and technical selling on May 17, large Brazilian harvest and Chinese cancellations of US purchases weighed on soybeans.
Fund and technical selling, China canceling US corn purchases and Brazil's large harvest pressured corn on May 17.
China cancelled more US corn sales and funds sold on May 17, so export demand weakened and speculative selling added pressure.
