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CoBank analysis finds US farmers and ranchers, not foreign importers, paid most of the cost of retaliatory tariffs on 11 agricultural commodities. Sorghum to China lost 100% of its value year over year, soybeans to China lost 98%, and cotton to China lost 48%.
Lost Chinese demand for US sorghum and soybeans reduces export outlets and pressures US prices. CoBank warns that longer tariffs let competitors take market share permanently.
allagnews.comTony St. JamesAug 27, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
