
The EU's updated Renewable Energy Directive, finalized in June, sets palm oil imports to peak around 2019, begin falling in 2023 and be phased out entirely by 2030. The article says the policy linking biofuel mandates to palm oil has contributed to deforestation, and that the problem runs deeper than the phase-out.
A structural EU phase-out of palm oil used for biofuel reduces long-term demand for palm oil, a substitute for soybean oil and other vegetable oils in feed and fuel, which is bearish for palm oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.