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The February Malaysian crude palm oil contract fell 1.6% to a three-month low on Monday. Analyst Cliff Jamieson cites expected higher November production, sluggish exports forecast down 8.5%, and India's substantial hike in vegetable oil import tariffs.
Higher Indian import tariffs cut demand from the world's largest vegetable oil importer, adding downward pressure on palm oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.