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Feeder cattle futures gapped lower and quickly hit limit-down after reports that Mexico's agriculture minister would discuss reopening the US border to Mexican feeder cattle. Grains were slightly lower on profit taking as China talks were called off.
Reopening the border would add large Mexican feeder supply, the most bearish factor for cattle prices, while the cancelled China talks weigh on grain demand expectations.
agweb.comMichelle RookOct 24, 2025After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On Oct 24 feeder futures gapped to limit-down on reports Mexico would discuss reopening the border to feeder cattle, which would add supply and directly drove the weekly decline.
Feeder cattle gapped to limit-down on Oct 24 after reports of border reopening talks, adding supply-expectation pressure that spilled into live cattle.
Reports that Mexico's border might reopen to feeder cattle raised supply fears and sent futures limit-down on Oct 24.
