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CME feeder and live cattle futures fell sharply over 12 days, with multiple limit-down sessions after President Trump suggested expanding beef imports. The proposal would raise Argentina's tariff-rate quota from 20,000 to 80,000 metric tons.
Expanded import access raises expected beef supply and pressures cattle prices, though analysts see the direct volume effect as small.
u.osu.eduSmith atOct 29, 2025
beefmagazine.comMississippi State University ExtensionOct 28, 2025After 87 past bearish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 121 past bearish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Policy uncertainty over larger beef imports (Argentina quota rising from 20,000 to 80,000 t) caused multiple limit-down sessions, summarizing the sell-off.
