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Cattle markets turned lower after mid-October highs as political comments, including Trump saying beef prices are too high, talk of expanded Argentine imports, and speculation about reopening the Mexican border, triggered selling. December live cattle are about $30/cwt below the mid-October peak and feeders are off more than $60/cwt, while cash cattle are holding steady.
Retail beef has stayed near record levels, with pork up 8% and chicken up 10% year over year.
Trade speculation about imports and border reopening raises expected beef supply, pressuring feeder and live cattle futures even though underlying fed cattle supplies remain tight. Competing proteins remain strong, which supports demand for feed inputs.
realagriculture.comRealAgriculture Market TeamNov 7, 2025After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 28 past neutral trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.7%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Summarizes political noise and import talk driving selling, with December live cattle well off the peak, though it is a broader recap.
