
China retaliated against US tariffs with a 34% levy on top of existing duties, bringing its tariff on US beef to 56%. Japan and South Korea also face 24% and 25% tariffs.
China was the third-largest US beef export market over the past four years, and cattle futures fell sharply in response.
Losing a major export outlet for US beef reduces packer demand for cattle and pressures live and feeder cattle prices, while the tariffs also cut into the feed-related export chain.
After 121 past bearish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.