
CME farm markets closed near daily highs after the US and China phase one trade agreement was signed by President Trump. March corn closed 3 1/4 cents higher at $3.81, January soybeans rose 9 1/4 cents to $9.07 1/2, and March wheat finished 2 1/4 cents higher at $5.32 1/2.
Soymeal gained $2.70 to $296.90 and soybean oil rose to 32.60 cents per pound.
Signing of the phase one deal and strong weekly exports support grain and soybean complex prices, while a growing fund net short in soybeans adds short-covering potential.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The signed US-China phase one deal lifted CME ag futures and soybean oil to 32.60 cents on Dec 13, adding demand optimism early in the 5-day window.