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Argentina is nearing an agreement with China to support pig farms, slaughterhouses and meat infrastructure, following African swine fever outbreaks. On August 3 the USDA reported 220,000 tonnes of soybean meal shipped to the Philippines, and soyoil futures rose 3.2%.
Chinese investment in Argentine pork production could increase future Argentine demand for soymeal as feed, supporting the soy complex. Strong soyoil and export shipments are the near-term price drivers.
mundus-agri.euAug 3, 2020After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 28 past neutral trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.2% to +0.7%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
