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A global rush for US dollars is driving extreme moves in currency and other markets, with companies and institutions drawing down credit lines and hoarding dollars. The Fed has expanded its swap lines to foreign central banks, but these measures have not reduced the volatility in the dollar.
Strategists say G-7 finance ministers may need to intervene.
The dollar funding squeeze raises the dollar's value against trading partners' currencies, which tends to weigh on US-priced grain and oilseed markets and increases import costs for buyers in emerging markets.
cnbc.comPatti DommMar 19, 2020After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The global scramble for US dollars and dollar hoarding pushed emerging-market currencies like the real sharply weaker, in line with the large BRL/USD move.
The global dollar rush, with companies drawing credit lines and hoarding dollars, describes the mechanism behind the euro's decline, although the report is dated 19 March, just after the window ends.
The global scramble for dollars and credit line drawdowns, in progress around March 18-19, put broad pressure on emerging market currencies including the real.
