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Overseas investors are finding dollars increasingly expensive and scarce as the Fed raises rates and shrinks its balance sheet. The cross-currency basis widened sharply on Thursday, the day after the Fed's eighth hike of the cycle, and the cost of borrowing dollars offshore is now the highest since 2009.
Quarter-end rebalancing and Italy-related euro outflows may have contributed.
Tighter dollar funding raises the cost of trade finance and debt service for importers of feed commodities, which can curb purchases and weigh on prices. It also signals a stronger dollar that pressures dollar-priced commodities.
theglobeandmail.comJamie McGeeverSep 28, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
