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The U.S. dollar rose in October to near late-July levels against many currencies, helped by better U.S. economic data that tempered expectations for Fed rate cuts. Europe's economy showed signs of slowing, while Canada is expected to see more rate cuts, which weighs on the loonie.
A stronger dollar lowers the local-currency cost of U.S. feed and grain exports in importing countries, which can support U.S. export demand while pressuring dollar-denominated commodity prices. The move is mainly a currency-market development.
desjardins.comJimmy Jean, Vice-President, Chief Economist, StrategistOct 30, 2024After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
