A CoBank report says African swine fever in China has affected 10 provinces and that China's hog prices have risen 25% since July. The report estimates over 70% of Chinese hog production is under quarantine or movement restrictions, and it expects the trade dispute to limit China's import options.
Large-scale Chinese herd losses and import constraints are expected to lift global pork prices and support hog and protein values.
After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.