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The euro fell against the dollar after the ECB halted new bond purchases as expected, ending its four-year quantitative easing program while keeping rates at -0.40 percent. The dollar gained on optimism over US-China trade progress, and sterling held steady after UK Prime Minister May won her party leadership vote.
Currency moves affect dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and import costs for European buyers; a firmer dollar tends to weigh on US commodity export competitiveness.
cnbc.comReutersDec 13, 2018After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
