
US and European shares slid and euro zone yields hit an eight-year high after the ECB signaled its first rate hike since 2011 and a possibly larger hike from September. Investors also awaited US consumer price data that could further shift rate expectations.
Higher rates and a firmer dollar tighten global financial conditions, which can weigh on commodity prices and on the euro's value against the dollar, affecting feed import costs.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The ECB's signaled hikes came with risk-off equity moves and pending US CPI, so the euro slipped as rate expectations shifted toward the dollar.