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Euro zone bond yields fell on Friday after inflation slowed to 2.2% from 2.6%, matching expectations. The German 10-year yield dropped 3 basis points to 2.253%, and traders priced a 98% chance of a September ECB cut.
Lower euro-zone yields and stronger easing expectations are a macro factor that can soften the euro and weigh on the dollar index, with no direct supply effect on feed.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.