
Euro zone bond yields surged after the ECB said it would end its bond buying in the third quarter, as inflation outweighs growth risks from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Italian yields rose over 20 basis points and German 10-year yields hit three-week highs.
The euro fell 0.5% to $1.1017 as the dollar gained on U.S. inflation data supporting an expected Fed rate hike.
Tighter ECB and Fed policy strengthens the dollar and weighs on euro-denominated import costs for feed buyers, while higher rates raise financing costs across the feed chain. The stronger dollar tends to pressure U.S. commodity prices in dollar terms.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.