Malaysian palm oil futures rebounded from a three-year low on December 1 after gains in related edible oils, though weak demand and high inventories limited the rise. AmSpec and SGS data showed Malaysian exports fell in November.
Indonesia announced it would temporarily cut its export levy to zero from $50 per tonne.
Indonesia's levy cut lowers its export costs and is expected to shift buying toward Indonesian palm oil, adding bearish pressure on Malaysian prices while weak exports keep inventories elevated.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.