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Analyst David Derwin of Ventum Financial says canola futures are driven by more than crude and vegetable oil prices, citing the Middle East war, upcoming US renewable fuel proposals from the EPA due March 27, and the CUSMA review. He sees canola potentially swinging between C$600 and C$800 per tonne and notes the early stage of the Canadian seeding season.
Policy announcements on US biofuel mandates and geopolitical crude moves could push canola and soyoil sharply in either direction, raising price risk for feed buyers.
grainews.caGlen HallickMar 25, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
