Malaysian palm oil futures hit a one-month low in the week to September 29 as soybean oil on CBOT weakened. Palm oil exports for September 1 to 25 rose 16 to 27 per cent according to inspection agencies, and the US EPA proposed cutting biodiesel blending requirements.
A proposed cut in US biodiesel mandates reduces demand for vegetable oil feedstocks, while strong export inspections are supportive but insufficient to offset the bearish trend.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weekly report to Sept 29 shows palm futures at a one-month low on weak CBOT soyoil and a proposed US EPA cut to biodiesel blending, which erodes demand and sets up the sharp Oct 2 drop.