WTI climbs above $101.00 on Middle East supply risks

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Jul 23, 2026Oil settles over $100 as Houthi attacks intensify Middle East supply risks | Reuters-7.9%
• Oct 3, 2024Crude oil prices today: WTI rises as Biden comments on Middle East risk+4.4%
• Oct 3, 2024Oil jumps over $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict stokes supply worry | Reuters+4.4%
• Jul 26, 2018Factbox: Risks to Middle East oil and gas shipping routes-3.0%
• Oct 31, 2024Oil Rises On Middle East Conflict Escalation Fears+4.5%

After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jul 23, 2026Oil settles over $100 as Houthi attacks intensify Middle East supply risks | Reuters+0.7%
• Oct 3, 2024Oil jumps over $3 a barrel as Middle East conflict stokes supply worry | Reuters+4.4%
• Jul 30, 2026Diesel Prices Climb Over Middle East Conflict and Refinery Attacks - WSJ-13.4%
• Aug 19, 2026Diesel in California hits $7 as wars in Europe, Middle East strain supply-6.3%
• Mar 19, 2026Prices for oil, fuel cargoes smash record highs as Iran war chokes Middle East supply | Reuters-6.3%