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NAB's January 2019 wheat forecast cuts Australian 2018-19 production to 16.9 Mt from 17.4 Mt last month. Western Australia is on track for an above-average season while eastern states struggle.
A lower national wheat forecast tightens export availability, supporting wheat prices for feed buyers relying on Australian supply.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.