OPEC is cutting more oil than it planned, says former Aramco executive

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jun 26, 2019Trump's sanctions cut more OPEC oil output than OPEC itself | Reuters-4.7%
• Feb 7, 2020The Commodities Feed: More OPEC+ cuts coming | snaps | ING THINK+2.3%
• Dec 1, 2025Oil climbs more than 1% on OPEC action, Ukraine attack+0.7%
• Aug 31, 2026Oil prices settle up more than $4 a barrel on renewed US-Iran fighting | Reuters+10.8%
• Oct 28, 2026Arab News | Oil rises more than 1% as supply concerns persist-4.7%

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Jun 26, 2019Trump's sanctions cut more OPEC oil output than OPEC itself | Reuters-2.8%
• Feb 7, 2020The Commodities Feed: More OPEC+ cuts coming | snaps | ING THINK+0.9%
• Dec 1, 2025Oil climbs more than 1% on OPEC action, Ukraine attack+2.7%
• Aug 31, 2026Oil prices settle up more than $4 a barrel on renewed US-Iran fighting | Reuters+9.6%
• Oct 28, 2026Arab News | Oil rises more than 1% as supply concerns persist-2.1%