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OPEC+ agreed in December to cut supply by 1.2 million bpd from January 1, with OPEC's share at 800,000 bpd. The actual cut exceeds 2.5 million bpd because Saudi Arabia has voluntarily cut more and because U.S. sanctions have removed Venezuelan and Iranian output.
U.S. sanctions are removing more barrels than the formal OPEC quota, which tightens crude supply and supports prices. Higher energy costs feed into diesel, fertilizer and freight expenses for feed buyers.
reuters.comAlex LawlerJun 26, 2019After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
