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Oil rose more than 13% in a record one-day rally on prospects of a supply cut of 10% to 15% of world demand. Trump said Russia and Saudi Arabia would negotiate to end their price war, which had cut prices by more than half the previous month, and that the US had not agreed to cut its own output.
The prospect of a large OPEC-Russia supply cut lifts crude and energy costs, which can support biofuel-linked vegetable oils and raise input costs for feed producers. The outcome remains uncertain, so price gains depend on whether a deal is confirmed.
reuters.comJessica Resnick-AultApr 3, 2020After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 110 past bullish geopolitics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +1.8% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Additional record rally on April 3 on prospects of a supply cut worth 10-15% of world demand.
Further 13% rally on April 3 on prospects of a 10-15% supply cut added to the 5-day gain.
A further 13% rally on April 3 on prospects of a supply cut added to the 5-day gain.
