
Russian President Vladimir Putin stayed defiant after Trump sanctioned Russia's two biggest oil companies to pressure the Kremlin to end the war in Ukraine. The move pushed global oil prices higher.
The sanctions show no sign of a near-term peace deal that would ease supply constraints, so the risk premium in crude may persist. That supports energy costs for feed and transport.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Putin's defiance suggests the sanctions will persist, sustaining supply-risk sentiment behind higher oil prices.