
Brent rose about 1.4% to $115.47 and WTI to $101.33 after an attack on a Saudi Arabian refinery. Traders are also awaiting US moves toward Iran and expected OPEC+ decisions on December output.
Attacks on Gulf refining capacity tighten supply expectations, which keeps diesel and energy costs for feed mills and transport elevated.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.