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Crude oil and natural gas posted solid gains last week, while gold fell as the dollar strengthened on improving US economic conditions. Crude was supported by fears of supply disruption after physical attacks on Saudi Arabian assets and tensions between the US and Iran.
Gains were capped by rising US stockpiles and concerns about weaker demand from the US-China trade dispute.
Middle East supply risk supports crude prices, which feed into diesel and freight costs for feed operations. A stronger dollar is a headwind for dollar-priced commodities.
finance.yahoo.comJames HyerczykMay 18, 2019After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, NATGAS moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
