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Oil prices pulled back on January 30 after hitting six-month highs on Thursday, as Ukraine and Russia reportedly agreed to a temporary energy-asset ceasefire and Turkey tried to broker U.S.-Iran talks. Petroleum diesel supplemented New England's power grid for nearly three days during the winter storm, driving swings in the February ULSD contract.
Heavy diesel burn for power generation in the Northeast drew down distillate inventories and supported diesel prices. Geopolitical headlines keep crude volatile, which feeds through to fuel and freight costs for feed buyers.
tacenergy.comJan 30, 2026After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
