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The Profercy World Nitrogen Index recorded its largest-ever weekly increase, reaching an all-time high of 287.54. Urea rallied in the US Gulf and Egypt after Hurricane Ida, European gas price spikes and domestic production cuts tightened supply.
Combined supply disruptions from European gas-driven plant curtailments and a hurricane are tightening nitrogen supply, pushing urea and other nitrogen prices to records. Elevated fertilizer costs raise the cost of crop production and feed.
profercy.comChris YearsleyOct 5, 2021After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Record weekly jump in the Profercy nitrogen index, with urea rallying in the US Gulf and Egypt on Ida, gas spikes and production cuts, directly describes the price surge in the window.
