
US farmers are looking past trade tensions as China's hog crisis drives expected demand, with a plunge in breeding sows meaning years to rebuild pig stocks. Industry estimates suggest as many as half of China's sows may have died, and Chinese pork prices have risen sharply since March.
Expected strong Chinese demand for US feed and grain supports US soybean and corn export prospects, though the hog herd loss limits longer-run feed demand.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.