Market sources told S&P Global Platts that China's soybean demand is expected to slacken in Q4 2021 as crushers face widespread power outages. Some plants have been asked to scale down rather than fully shut, and about 27 plants across regions are affected.
Lower crush rates reduce China's import demand for soybeans, which weighs on soybean prices, while tighter soymeal supply supports meal values.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.