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ABIOVE, the Brazilian vegetable oil industry association, expects soybean oil demand for biodiesel to rise more than 20% in 2020 to about 5 million metric tons. The increase is tied to a planned 12% biodiesel blend starting in March, up from 11% since September 1.
Nearly half of Brazil's soy oil demand this year went to biodiesel.
A higher mandated blend pulls more soybean oil into biodiesel, tightening soy oil supply and supporting its price relative to meal. Demand growth of this size is a meaningful bullish signal for soy oil and crush margins.
biofuelsdigest.comMeghan SappSep 25, 2019After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
