
Wheat prices in Australia and globally recovered in September from four-year lows, driven by weather and war concerns. The September WASDE was marginally bullish, with lower beginning stocks offsetting a slightly higher US corn yield, and EU wheat output was cut further after rain damage in France and Germany.
Cuts to EU and Russian corn and wheat output, plus the offsetting WASDE stock changes, point to firmer feed grain and wheat prices.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.