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The July WASDE cut USDA's 2019/20 world wheat ending stocks by 7.88 million tonnes to 286.46 million tonnes, a steeper cut than analysts expected. Wheat futures rallied on the report, though the stocks figure remains a record and global consumption was revised lower.
A larger-than-expected stocks cut signals tighter wheat supply and supports prices, though record carryout limits the upside for feed buyers.
dtnpf.comCliff JamiesonJul 11, 2019After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
