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The safe-haven yen hit a three-month high on January 6 as US-Iran tensions rose after the killing of a top Iranian commander. Iran signaled it would abandon limits on uranium enrichment, and Trump warned of major retaliation.
Spot gold jumped to near a seven-year high.
Escalating US-Iran conflict raised oil risk premiums because of potential supply disruption in the Gulf, which lifts energy and feed transport costs. Basmati and other Gulf-bound trade faces additional uncertainty.
thehindubusinessline.comReutersJan 6, 2020After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
