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US river terminals raised urea offers to $605-$635/t FOB after the Ukraine conflict began, with some terminals pulling prices. Interruptions to nitrogen production and movement in eastern Europe pushed prices higher across Europe and Brazil.
Surging gas costs and sanctions uncertainty further supported urea values.
Disrupted nitrogen exports from eastern Europe and higher gas costs push up urea prices, raising costs for grain and feed producers. Prices are expected to stay firm into the medium term.
scceu.orgMar 15, 2022After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
