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The IEA's monthly report forecasts non-OPEC supply growth accelerating to 2.1 million b/d in 2020, with the US contribution slowing sharply. It expects the oil market to stay well supplied in the first half of 2020 with inventories building despite OPEC+ cuts.
A well-supplied market with stock builds points to softer crude prices, lowering energy and fuel input costs for feed buyers.
spglobal.comPaul HickinJan 16, 2020After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
