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Ten biodiesel plants closed in 2019, which the industry blames on Trump administration handling of the renewable fuel standard and uncertainty over the $1-per-gallon biodiesel tax credit. Iowa plants have slowed amid the policy uncertainty.
Biodiesel plant closures reduce demand for soybean oil, weakening the crush margin and increasing meal supply, which is bearish for soybean oil and bearish-to-neutral for meal prices.
eenews.netMarc HellerFeb 4, 2020After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
