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Oil markets plunged after OPEC talks with Russia collapsed, and Saudi Arabia signaled a price war. Saudi Arabia planned to raise output above 10 million b/d and cut its official selling differential by $6/b, believed to be the largest cut ever.
Analysts noted oil demand was falling because of the coronavirus slowdown.
Saudi output expansion and price cuts into a demand slump point to sharply lower crude and diesel prices. Cheaper diesel lowers trucking and farm fuel costs, though the price war adds volatility to energy-linked feed input costs.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonMar 9, 2020After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 51 past bearish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -8.2% to +3.9%), and -2.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Saudi Arabia planned output above 10 million b/d and the largest-ever cut to official selling differentials, a supply surge against falling demand.
Describes Saudi plans to raise output above 10 million b/d and make record cuts to selling prices, plus weak coronavirus-hit demand, which directly pressures diesel prices; dated a day after the move.
It describes the Saudi plan to raise output above 10 million b/d and make a record cut to its selling differential, a supply factor behind the plunge, alongside weak coronavirus-hit demand.
