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Westpac says the sharp fall in energy prices is threatening the relative stability the Australian dollar had enjoyed recently. It notes LNG, Australia's third-largest export, is priced off oil and coal prices are being dragged lower by the oil rout.
Iron ore is holding near $85 per tonne, but education and tourism exports face a difficult year.
A weaker AUD tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and shifts Australian export economics, which matters for feed grain and barley pricing from Australia. Energy weakness also feeds into diesel and freight costs for feed buyers.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetApr 24, 2020Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
