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Emerging markets sold off on Thursday as fears about US trade wars, Federal Reserve rate hikes and ECB bond-buying changes spread. Brazil was hit hardest, with its stock market falling more than 7% at one point and its currency weakening as much as 3% on fiscal and political worries.
Capital outflows from emerging markets weaken their currencies, which lowers the dollar price of their agricultural exports and can pressure global feed prices. Trade-war fears also add risk to soybean and grain demand.
cnbc.comPatti DommJun 7, 2018After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Broad emerging-market selloff on Fed hikes and trade war fears hit Brazil hardest, with the currency down up to 3% on fiscal and political worries.
Broad emerging-market selloff on June 7 (Fed hikes, trade war fears) with Brazil hit hardest on fiscal and political worries drove capital outflows and a weaker real.
