The USDA projects world oilseed production to rise 5% in 2020-21 to a record 605.9 million tonnes, with soybean output up 26.6 million tonnes to a record 362.8 million. Global oilseed consumption is forecast to grow 2%, the fastest pace since 2017/18, helped by recovering Chinese feed demand after African swine fever.
Record supply is bearish for oilseed prices, but stronger consumption and reduced ending stocks partly offset that and support meal demand for feed.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.