
The USDA's February report raised 2023/24 world vegetable oil production to about 222.85 million tonnes and lowered world meal output to 369.37 million tonnes. Rapeseed meal was raised, while soybean meal was cut to 257.76 million tonnes.
A lower soybean meal forecast tightens global protein meal supply, which supports soymeal prices for feed buyers, while higher rapeseed output offsets part of the decline.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.