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USDA outlook projections show US wheat plantings declining to likely the lowest acreage on record, with production slightly lower. Ending stocks for the coming year are projected 7% smaller, while the average all-wheat price is forecast at $4.60 per bushel.
Exports are projected at 950 million bushels, about 2% below the current year.
Tighter US stocks are offset by higher global supply, which USDA expects to keep prices flat. Export demand is expected to ease slightly, so limited price upside is implied for US wheat.
pnwag.netGlenn VaagenMay 19, 2020After 40 past neutral report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.1% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
