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CBOT wheat rallied in the week to May 22 after a forecast cut Russia's 2020 grain crop by 5 million tonnes to 120 million tonnes. A weaker rouble also made Russian wheat dearer and speculation grew that Russia would extend export quotas.
Dry conditions in southern Russia and Ukraine were noted but largely shrugged off.
A smaller Russian crop and possible export quota extensions tighten Black Sea wheat supply, supporting global wheat prices. Feed buyers may face higher wheat costs as a substitute in rations.
farmonline.com.auMalcolm BartholomaeusMay 25, 2020After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 94 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.8%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
