A Chinese government statement says feed demand is expected to recover to about 212.7 million tonnes, the 2017/18 level, as hog losses from African swine fever are offset by poultry and ruminant growth. Grain policy changes have been made to support the feed sector.
Restocking has accelerated across pig, poultry and cattle operations after the Covid-19 pandemic.
A recovery in Chinese feed demand to record-level volumes supports import demand for corn, soybeans and meal.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.