
The American Soybean Association outlines fall policy priorities, with biofuels at the top alongside the farm bill, trade and regulation. ASA estimates failing to fully reallocate exempted volumes could eliminate roughly 500 million gallons of biomass-based diesel demand and nearly $1 billion in soybean farmer value.
Lobbying for full RVO reallocation signals policy risk to soybean oil demand; full reallocation would support soyoil and soybean prices, while a shortfall would weigh on them.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.