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Brazil is raising its biodiesel blend to 11% (B11) after March 2019 and plans to reach 15% by 2023 under a mandatory policy adding 1 percentage point per year. ABIOVE estimates the change adds about 600,000 metric tons of biodiesel demand next year, requiring roughly 3.3 million metric tons more soybean crush.
Higher Brazilian biodiesel mandates lift domestic soybean oil demand and crush, supporting soybean oil and soybean meal prices while reducing oil availability for export.
dtnpf.comLin TanFeb 1, 2019After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
